Updated: June 5th 6:15 PM EST
The final leg of the Triple Crown is set for this Saturday June 5th at Belmont Park. Post time is 6:49 PM EST. The race will be televised on NBC with coverage beginning at 3 PM EST on NBC Sports Network.
Below are the post-positions, jockey assignments and morning line odds.
Post Position/ Horse/Jockey/Trainer/Odds
1. Bourbonic – Carmouche/Pletcher – 10/1
2. Essential Quality – Saez/Cox – 2/1
3. Rombauer – Velazquez/McCarthy – 3/1
4. Hod Rod Charlie – Prat/O’Neill – 7/2
5. France Go de Ina – Santana Jr/Mori – 30/1
6. Known Agenda – J.Ortiz/Pletcher – 6/1
7. Rock Your World – Rosario/Sadler – 9/2
8. Overtook – Franco/Pletcher – 20/1
Race Analysis: A 1 1/2 mile (12 furlong) race, which none of these 3-year-olds have never run yet, it is difficult to handicap. With an eight horse field, exotics won’t pay out big dollars. So, I will just place a big win bet. My race favorite is Essential Quality for the reasons below.
The Tapit Factor: Essential Quality’s sire is Tapit and Tapit’s progeny run very well at Belmont Park. In the last seven Belmont Stakes races, Tapit’s progeny have produced three wins (Tonalist, Creator & Tapwrit) and two 2nd place finishes (Frosted & Tacitus). Last year’s winner, Tiz the Law, was a progeny of Constitution whose sire was Tapit.
Betting Strategy: I am making a big win bet on Essential Quality as well as a boxed exacta of Essential Quality and Hot Rod Charlie.
I will update this blog clear up until post-time in case there are any scratches or the weather changes.
Here are the live odds: https://www.belmontstakes.com/racing/belmont-stakes-live-odds
For those looking for the Past Performance sheet for this race, here is the link: https://picks.horseracingnation.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/Belmont-Stakes-2021-PPs.pdf
I like EQ because of the Tapit factor (think Tonalist and Tapwrit!) but not liking the odds for him in this race. May give RYW another chance and/or HRC.
I am contemplating a boxed exacta with Essential Quality, Rombauer and Hot Rod Charlie. Although I am not sure it would pay out well.
Win’s a win! Rombauer will help if he sneaks in.
I hit a big win bet on Essential Quality, a boxed exacta and a couple of 10 cent superfectas keying Essential Quality.
Awesome! I was hoping u pulled the trigger on the exacta. I should have rode with u…
Congrats! Like it.
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