2020 Breeders’ Cup Classic Preview

Updated: 11/7/2020 2:35 PM EST

Coming up tomorrow, we get the 37th running of the Breeder’s Cup Classic with a purse of $6 Million Dollars. One of the key story lines will be the battle between the two 3-year-olds Tiz the Law and Authentic. The higher finisher will likely have the edge to win the 2020 Eclipse Award for American Champion Three-Year-Old Male Horse.

Post time is 5:18 PM EST. The race will be televised on NBC with coverage beginning at 4:30 PM EST.

Below are the official entries, post-positions, jockey assignments and morning line odds. The two 3-year-old colts (Tiz the Law & Authentic) will carry 122 lbs of weight, all others will carry 126 lbs.

2020 Breeders’ Cup Classic – 1 1/4th mile

Post Position/ Horse/Jockey/Trainer/Odds
1. Tacitus – J. Ortiz/Mott – 20/1
2. Tiz the Law – Franco/Tagg – 3/1
3. By My Standards – G. Saez/Calhoun – 10/1
4. Tom’s d’Etat – Rosario/Stall Jr – 6/1
5. Title Ready – Lanerie/Stewart – 30/1
6. Higher Power – Prat/Sadler – 20/1
7. Global Campaign – Castellano/Hough – 20/1
8. Improbable – I. Ortiz Jr/Baffert – 5/2
9. Authentic – Velazquez/Baffert – 6/1
10. Maximum Security – L. Saez/Baffert – 7/2

Race Analysis: Overall, I plan to be more of a spectator than a bettor on this race. This has been a tough year to handicap the big races for everyone. Lot of surprises and we could see one once again like we did with Swiss Skydiver winning the Preakness Stakes.

That being said, you’ve got to like the winner coming out of Bob Baffert’s barn. He is the winningest trainer in Breeders’ Cup Classic history with three wins: Bayern (2014), American Pharoah (2015) and Arrogate (2016). However, as you’ll notice, Baffert has come up winless in the last three Classics.

Right now, my gut feeling is that the race will likely come down to Tiz the Law and Improbable. I’d give Improbable the edge but personally I will be rooting for Tiz the Law.

Tiz the Law is well-rested and has a nice inside position to save a little ground with he if gets out of the gate well. If you remember, in the Kentucky Derby he finished second but had to go wide to get into position entering the stretch. With a nice start from the #2 post, Tiz the Law is set up well for a rail-run. Tacitus‘ trainer, Bill Mott, has won the Classic twice: Cigar (1995) and Drosselmeyer (2011). So I would consider him in your exotics. Overall,o I will probably split my win bets between Tiz the Law and Improbable.

I will update this blog clear up until post-time in case there are any scratches or the weather changes. Right now, weather.com shows it will be sunny and with temps in the 70s in Lexington, Kentucky. Also note that you can find free past performances for this race by clicking HERE

Update: No scratches to report. Weather looking good!

Also, I am on Twitter and you can add me at https://twitter.com/totallyfearless

2 comments

  1. Hi Michael,

    I would love to see Tiz silence his detractors here. All he needs is a decent break and then the ground-saving trip is set up. He doesn’t fold in the stretch this time.

    Also thinking Tom’s or Max. Should be fun to watch. Loaded field, any of five have a real shot.

    You know this- Tagg is Tiz’s trainer, not Mott. Hate to even correct you.

    Be safe,

    Greek

    Like

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